The Political Wildcard of 2022: The Possible Outcomes of a Second Trump Term and the Risks to Democracy and International Stability.

The upcoming presidential election between Joe Biden and Donald Trump is expected to be a contentious affair. While Trump’s first term in office was marked by chaos, it is believed that experienced politicians and advisors were able to keep him in check. However, there are concerns that a second term could lead to a different outcome.

The aftermath of Trump’s defeat in the 2021 election saw him refuse to accept the results, leading to the storming of the Capitol. Despite lacking evidence of voter fraud, many Republican voters continue to believe that the election was stolen. This distrust has the potential to lead to civil unrest if the outcome of the upcoming election is challenged.

During his first term, Trump displayed authoritarian tendencies, especially during the Black Lives Matter protests. He flirted with invoking the Insurrection Act, which would give him direct control over the National Guard. Plans are already being put in place for a conservative takeover of power in 2025 through “Project 2025,” which aims to make government more compliant and ready for quick policy changes.

The future of US foreign relations under a second Trump term remains uncertain. While he initially took a tough stance on Russia, there are doubts about his commitment to supporting Ukraine in the face of Russian aggression. Many former Republican lawmakers who resisted his actions are no longer in office, raising concerns about loyalty to the president in a potential second term.

The role of advisors and staff in a second Trump term will be crucial as many competent individuals from his first term were quickly alienated due to his volatile nature. There are also concerns about who would be willing to work for him given his reputation for unpredictability and erratic behavior. Additionally, there is uncertainty surrounding transatlantic relations under a potential second term could have significant implications for global stability.

Overall, if re-elected, Trump’s policies will likely have long-lasting impacts on American democracy and international relations.