ZURICH, March 16 (Reuters) – The Swiss authorities expects the nation’s financial development to chill to a under common charge of 1.1% in 2023, earlier than development accelerates to 1.5% subsequent 12 months, it stated on Thursday.
The nation’s economic system will gradual from the two.1% development charge achieved in 2022, albeit barely above the 1% degree forecast in December, the State Secretariat for Financial Affairs (SECO) stated.
“This might be considerably under common however not drive the
economic system into recession,” SECO stated. “The vitality state of affairs in Europe has eased in current months. Nonetheless, inflationary strain stays excessive internationally.”
In 2024 the Swiss economic system, when adjusted for sporting occasions, is anticipated to develop by 1.5%, barely down from the December forecast of 1.6%.
Each forecasts are under common GDP development in Switzerland, historically one in every of Europe’s extra resilient economies, the place output expanded by a mean of 1.8% between 2012 and the pre- pandemic 12 months 2019.
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The Swiss economic system grew by 2.1% in 2022, in accordance with provisional calculations printed by SECO final month.
Switzerland has benefited from a light winter which meant Europe skirted an vitality disaster, whereas blockages and bottlenecks in provide chains have continued to ease.
Nonetheless Swiss inflation has remained extra persistent than beforehand anticipated, a state of affairs which is lowering spending energy of shoppers.
Financial coverage has additionally turn into extra restrictive, with rates of interest hikes anticipated in Switzerland and overseas, dampening demand from companies and shoppers.
Swiss inflation is anticipated to fall from 2.8% in 2022 to 2.4% this 12 months, SECO stated, earlier than dipping to 1.5% in 2024.
The forward-looking KOF Financial Barometer rose to 100 in February, persevering with a current constructive development, whereas the Swiss engineering sector has sounded a cautiously optimistic notice for this 12 months.
Credit score Suisse on Wednesday stated it anticipated the Swiss economic system to develop by 0.8% this 12 months, earlier than development picks up once more to 1.4% in 2024.
The Swiss Nationwide Financial institution is because of give its newest financial forecasts when it publicizes the end result of its quarterly financial coverage overview on March 23.
Reporting by John Revill; Modifying by Sonali Paul
Our Requirements: The Thomson Reuters Belief Ideas.