Morgan Stanley’s Expert Insights on CBRT’s Future Interest Rate Forecast

According to recent predictions by Morgan Stanley, the Central Bank of the Republic of Turkey (CBRT) is expected to continue tightening its monetary policy at a slower pace. Hande Kucuk, the CEEMEA Economist at Morgan Stanley, estimates that the policy rate will increase by 250 basis points in the next meeting. However, despite the lack of specific forward guidance from the CBRT, Morgan Stanley anticipates that the pace of tightening will slow down.

The note also highlights that the CBRT prefers a moderate adjustment in growth and delays in monetary transmission, which suggests that it may reduce the rate of tightening and evaluate the impact of cumulative steps on economic activity and inflation.

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