Government maintains economic outlook in June, cautions of elevated foreign interest rates

Japan’s Economy Shows Signs of Improvement, but Government Remains Cautious about Recovery Amid External Challenges

Japan’s economy is showing signs of improvement following a data-rigging scandal in the auto sector, but the government remains cautiously optimistic about the economic recovery while acknowledging external challenges that could impact growth. Despite recent progress, the Japanese government described the economy as recovering at a moderate pace.

After experiencing its first contraction in two quarters in the January-March period, Japan’s economy is currently on shaky ground. The report highlighted that private consumption and exports are pausing, while business investments are showing signs of growth. Additionally, public investment was downgraded in the report for the first time in eight months. Rising prices of everyday goods are affecting consumption levels, and concerns were raised about persistent weakness of yen relative to U.S. dollar, as it could lead to increased costs for imports of energy and raw materials, contributing to inflation.

The Japanese government warned about potential risks from elevated overseas interest rates that could impact global growth despite raising its view on the global economy for the first time since May 2023. It mentioned that overseas economies are beginning to pick up, providing some optimism for the future. However, it also emphasized monitoring inflation, situation in Middle East and fluctuations in financial markets as crucial factors that will affect economic recovery.

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