Investors closely analyzed the latest economic data and considered the overall state of the economy on Wednesday. At 4:54 a.m. ET, the 10-year Treasury yield had risen by more than two basis points to 4.6273%, while the 2-year Treasury yield was more than three basis points higher at 4.9414%. Yields and prices have an inverse relationship, with one basis point equivalent to 0.01%.
Recent economic data has demonstrated resilience in the economy despite high interest rates and ongoing inflation. Expectations for Fed interest rate cuts have shifted, raising questions about whether there will be fewer cuts than previously anticipated this year. Additional economic data is expected later in the week, including durable goods orders, a first-quarter GDP reading, and the personal consumption expenditures price index.
On Tuesday, the S&P Global Flash manufacturing PMI for the U.S. dropped to a four-month low of 49.9 for April, signaling contraction in the sector. This data implied to investors that the economy might be experiencing a slight slowdown. However, this trend has been offset by strong employment figures and consumer spending growth over recent months.
Fed officials have expressed caution in discussing a timeline for rate cuts in recent weeks as they closely examine economic indicators amidst uncertainty about the economy’s condition and its potential impact on monetary policy decisions.
The Fed’s upcoming meeting on April 30-May 1 is highly anticipated where it is widely expected that rates will remain unchanged due to positive economic trends.
Investors will be attentive to any indications about future monetary policy direction during this meeting while also keeping an eye on additional economic data later in the week that could further impact their investment decisions.
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